{"id":77199,"date":"2026-05-28T06:08:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T06:08:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/casinobeats.com\/se\/?p=77199"},"modified":"2026-05-28T06:08:27","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T06:08:27","slug":"spanien-och-indonesien-stoppar-prediction-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/casinobeats.com\/se\/2026\/05\/28\/spanien-och-indonesien-stoppar-prediction-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Spanien och Indonesien stoppar prediction markets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Prediction markets (prediktionsmarknader) forts\u00e4tter att v\u00e4xa snabbt globalt och lockar anv\u00e4ndare som vill satsa pengar p\u00e5 allt fr\u00e5n valresultat till kryptopriser och geopolitik. Samtidigt m\u00f6ter branschen allt st\u00f6rre motst\u00e5nd fr\u00e5n myndigheter som menar att plattformarna i praktiken fungerar som oreglerad betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nu har b\u00e5de Spanien och Indonesien slagit fast att prediction market-plattformar som Polymarket och Kalshi ska klassas som hasardspel. Besluten inneb\u00e4r att l\u00e4nderna ansluter sig till en v\u00e4xande grupp marknader som redan blockerat eller begr\u00e4nsat verksamheten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spanien blockerar Polymarket och Kalshi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Spaniens konsumentministerium meddelade i veckan<\/a> att landet \u00f6ppnat ett tillsyns\u00e4rende mot Polymarket och Kalshi. Den spanska spelmyndigheten Direcci\u00f3n General de Ordenaci\u00f3n del Juego (DGOJ) bed\u00f6mer att plattformarna erbjuder spel om pengar utan den administrativa licens som kr\u00e4vs f\u00f6r att verka i landet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enligt myndigheten har prediction markets \u201ckarakt\u00e4ren av hasardspel\u201d eftersom anv\u00e4ndare satsar pengar p\u00e5 os\u00e4kra framtida utfall. Det kan handla om allt fr\u00e5n valresultat och ekonomiska beslut till krig och politiska avg\u00e5ngar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Som en f\u00f6rsiktighets\u00e5tg\u00e4rd har Spanien beordrat teleoperat\u00f6rer att blockera sajterna. Enligt myndigheterna v\u00e4ntas blockeringen tr\u00e4da i kraft inom sju till tio dagar och g\u00e4lla medan utredningen p\u00e5g\u00e5r, vilket uppskattas ta mellan tre och fyra m\u00e5nader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 plattformarna har anv\u00e4ndare bland annat kunnat spela p\u00e5 Ukrainakrigets utveckling, stora presidentval och om politiska ledare l\u00e4mnar sina poster i f\u00f6rtid. P\u00e5 senare tid har \u00e4ven marknader kopplade till Spaniens premi\u00e4rminister Pedro S\u00e1nchez uppm\u00e4rksammats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spanien pekar p\u00e5 bristande spelarskydd<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ut\u00f6ver licensfr\u00e5gan lyfter Spanien fram att plattformarna saknar flera av de skydds\u00e5tg\u00e4rder som kr\u00e4vs av licensierade speloperat\u00f6rer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enligt DGOJ finns inte tillr\u00e4ckliga system f\u00f6r identitetsverifiering, \u00e5lderskontroller eller skydd f\u00f6r personer som st\u00e4ngt av sig fr\u00e5n spel. Spanien har l\u00e4nge haft en strikt h\u00e5llning mot olicensierat spel och b\u00f6tf\u00e4llde s\u00e5 sent som f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret sex bolag med totalt fem miljoner euro f\u00f6r att ha erbjudit spel utan tillst\u00e5nd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indonesien blockerar Polymarket efter spel p\u00e5 presidenten<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Samtidigt har Indonesien valt en \u00e4nnu h\u00e5rdare linje. Landets kommunikations- och digitalministerium meddelade tidigare i veckan att Polymarket blockerats helt<\/a> och att myndigheterna \u00e4ven kartl\u00e4gger plattformens sociala mediekonton f\u00f6r att begr\u00e4nsa tillg\u00e5ngen ytterligare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bakgrunden \u00e4r att anv\u00e4ndare kunde satsa pengar p\u00e5 om president Prabowo Subianto skulle l\u00e4mna sitt \u00e4mbete i f\u00f6rtid. Indonesiska myndigheter menar att prediction markets fortfarande utg\u00f6r gambling \u00e4ven om de anv\u00e4nder blockchain-teknik eller kryptotillg\u00e5ngar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Regeringen kommer inte att ge utrymme f\u00f6r n\u00e5gon form av onlinespel i Indonesien. Aktiviteter som Polymarket inneh\u00e5ller inslag av pengasatsningar och spekulation kring os\u00e4kra h\u00e4ndelser, vilket strider mot g\u00e4llande lagstiftning, sade Alexander Sabar fr\u00e5n ministeriet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sedan president Subianto tilltr\u00e4dde 2024 har Indonesien bedrivit en omfattande offensiv mot illegal gambling. Myndigheterna uppskattar att inv\u00e5nare tidigare spelade illegalt f\u00f6r omkring 24 miljarder dollar \u00e5rligen. Efter att \u00f6ver 30 000 bankkonton med koppling till illegalt spel frysts uppges siffran ha minskat till cirka 18 miljarder dollar under fjol\u00e5ret.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fler l\u00e4nder har redan satt stopp f\u00f6r prediction markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Spanien och Indonesien \u00e4r l\u00e5ngt ifr\u00e5n f\u00f6rst med att agera mot prediction markets. Tidigare i \u00e5r blockerade Brasilien b\u00e5de Polymarket och Kalshi efter att myndigheter bed\u00f6mt att produkterna hade tydliga likheter med gambling och saknade r\u00e4tt regulatoriskt st\u00f6d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4ven Singapore och Indien har tidigare blockerat eller begr\u00e4nsat Polymarket, medan Taiwan, Thailand och Kina inf\u00f6rt restriktioner kring liknande tj\u00e4nster. I Argentina beordrade en domstol tidigare i \u00e5r att Polymarket skulle blockeras efter att plattformen bed\u00f6mts bedriva olicensierad spelverksamhet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Samtidigt forts\u00e4tter bolagen att expandera internationellt. Polymarket uppges arbeta f\u00f6r ett intr\u00e4de p\u00e5 den japanska marknaden f\u00f6re 2030, medan Kalshi fr\u00e4mst fokuserat p\u00e5 USA d\u00e4r bolaget verkar under tillsyn av den amerikanska r\u00e5varumyndigheten CFTC. Trots \u00f6kande regulatorisk press forts\u00e4tter prediction markets att v\u00e4xa snabbt \u2013 under maj uppges Polymarket ha hanterat \u00f6ver fem miljarder dollar i handelsvolym, medan Kalshi n\u00e5tt omkring 13,7 miljarder dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kan prediction markets blockeras i Sverige?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det finns i dagsl\u00e4get inga k\u00e4nda beslut om att blockera prediction markets i Sverige, och fr\u00e5gan har \u00e4nnu inte pr\u00f6vats tydligt r\u00e4ttsligt. Mycket skulle sannolikt avg\u00f6ras av hur plattformarna klassificeras och om de anses rikta sig mot svenska spelare. Enligt den svenska spellagen kr\u00e4vs licens f\u00f6r akt\u00f6rer som erbjuder spel om pengar och samtidigt v\u00e4nder sig till den svenska marknaden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det betyder att en blockering inte framst\u00e5r som sj\u00e4lvklar i nul\u00e4get. D\u00e4remot skulle plattformar som Polymarket eller Kalshi sannolikt kunna granskas n\u00e4rmare om de b\u00f6rjar rikta sig tydligare mot Sverige genom exempelvis svensk marknadsf\u00f6ring, svensk valuta eller lokalt anpassade tj\u00e4nster. Eftersom prediction markets bygger p\u00e5 att anv\u00e4ndare satsar pengar p\u00e5 os\u00e4kra framtida h\u00e4ndelser finns ocks\u00e5 argument f\u00f6r att de skulle kunna bed\u00f6mas p\u00e5 liknande s\u00e4tt som traditionell betting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prediction markets (prediktionsmarknader) forts\u00e4tter att v\u00e4xa snabbt globalt och lockar anv\u00e4ndare som vill satsa pengar p\u00e5 allt fr\u00e5n valresultat till kryptopriser och geopolitik. Samtidigt m\u00f6ter branschen allt st\u00f6rre motst\u00e5nd fr\u00e5n myndigheter som menar att plattformarna i praktiken fungerar som oreglerad betting. Nu har b\u00e5de Spanien och Indonesien slagit fast att prediction market-plattformar som Polymarket och […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":117,"featured_media":77200,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[115,120],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nyheter","category-online"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPrediction markets stoppas i Spanien och Indonesien<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Spanien och Indonesien stoppar prediction markets och klassar dem som hasardspel. 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