The 2026 World Cup continues on Wednesday with the USA taking on Bosnia & Herzegovina in the knockout round. Kickoff from Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, is set for 8 p.m. ET with live coverage on FOX.
The Americans are -488 (83%) to advance at Polymarket, with Bosnia & Herzegovina priced at +456. The total was listed at 2.5. Let’s examine the best bets for this match using the odds at Polymarket as of publication.
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
| USA (moneyline) | 72% | -257 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina (moneyline) | 10% | +900 |
| Draw | 19% | +426 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 54% | -117 |
| USA -1.5 goals | 45% | +122 |
Best Bet USA vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina: USA -1.5 (+122)
The US won Group D despite a 3-2 loss to Turkiye in its last match after resting several key players. The Americans will look to win their second-ever knockout stage game after beating Mexico 2-0 in the 2022 World Cup.
The U.S is ranked 15th, with Bosnia & Herzegovina at No. 61 in FIFA’s latest world rankings. The Dragons qualified for the knockout round with a 3-1 win over Qatar in their final group match after drawing with Canada and losing to Switzerland.
Captain Eden Dzenko has a team-high 150 caps for Bosnia & Herzegovina. He leads the all-time list of his country’s goal scorers at 73.
Bosnia & Herzegovina favors a high-possession attack, but the Americans have a formidable counter-press that should prove difficult to overcome.
Best USA vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina Player Prop
Folarin Balogun OVER 0.5 Goals (+133)
The US is led offensively by striker Folarin Balogun. He’s the only player to score multiple goals for the US side in this World Cup.
Both of those goals came in the 4-1 opening win over Paraguay. We’re backing Balogun to score again at +133 odds (43%) at Polymarket. His tactical speed and ability to break away help produce goals like this one against Paraguay.
Both Teams to Score: No (-127)
We backed Canada to advance, UNDER 2.5, and South Africa not to score in the first knockout game and cashed a nice ticket on Sunday. Adopting a similar approach, we’re betting on the US to produce a clean sheet against a team that struggled to score against anyone not named Qatar.
Matt Freese made two saves in the 2-0 shutout win over Australia. In two starts, he’s allowed only one goal in the tournament.
If you build a combo at Polymarket with USA -1.5 goals and both teams not to score, the resulting odds are -133 (57%).
Prediction: USA 2, Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
