The 2026 World Cup resumes with the quarterfinals on Thursday. France and Morocco kick things off at 4 p.m. ET.
Eight of 48 teams remain in the hunt to hoist the World Cup trophy on July 19. Let’s examine BetMGM’s odds on the champion team. We’ll also reveal the most-bet teams to win by state at BetMGM, which currently operates in 22 states and the District of Columbia.
World Cup Futures at BetMGM
| Team | BetMGM Odds | Implied Probability |
| France | +175 | 36.4% |
| Argentina | +350 | 22% |
| Spain | +350 | 22% |
| England | +450 | 18.2% |
| Norway | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Morocco | +2800 | 3.4% |
| Belgium | +2800 | 3.4% |
| Switzerland | +2800 | 3.4% |
State-By-State Breakdown of World Cup Win Bets at BetMGM
France – DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MO, NC, NJ, NV, NY, PA, VA
Unsurprisingly, Les Bleus are the most bet team to win the World Cup in 16 states. France advanced to the quarterfinals after a 1-0 win over Paraguay. Kylian Mbappe scored his seventh goal on a penalty kick to push France past Paraguay.
France is a -350 favorite to advance versus Morocco tomorrow. Les Bleus are -175 to win the game in regulation. This team is on a mission, scoring 14 goals across five matches. We expect France to face the winner of Spain vs. Belgium in the semifinals.
United States: AZ, CO, MI, MS, WV, WY
The Americans commanded the most win bets at BetMGM in six states. The US enjoyed a nice run, winning Group D and notching its second-ever knockout-round win.
That 2-0 win over Bosnia & Herzegovina had Americans hoping for a dream run. Instead, it was more of a nightmare when Belgium advanced to the quarterfinals with a 4-1 rout.
The Americans were +2000 to win the World Cup before going out.
Spain: OH
Buckeye State bettors backed Spain the most as the 2026 World Cup winner. Spain faces Belgium on Friday at 3 p.m. ET. La Roja is -300 to advance over Belgium and -160 to win in regular time.
Spain has quietly crept into the quarterfinals, but appears to be peaking at the right time. Notably, Spain has yet to concede a goal in the World Cup.
If wunderkind Lamine Yamal steps up his scoring production, La Roja will be a dangerous foe for anyone in their path. Mikel Oyarzabal has picked up the slack with a team-high four goals.
Best Bet on Longshot to Win 2026 World Cup
If you want to step out and go against the grain, consider betting on Norway (+1400) to win the World Cup.
France beat Norway 4-1 in group play, but the Norwegian side sat out 10 starters, including breakout star Erling Haaland. Haaland is still in the running for the Golden Boot award as the tournament’s top scorer. His seven goals are tied with Mbappe and only trail Lionel Messi, who leads all players with eight goals.
Norway is coming off the biggest win in the country’s history. It could ride the momentum of that 2-1 win over Brazil and surprise England on Saturday. Norway is 4-0 during this World Cup when its starters played.
