All-Time Super Bowl Betting Data Reveals Surprising Coin-Flip Reality

When the Eagles defeated the Chiefs in Super Bowl 59, it marked the fifth straight year that the underdog cashed a winning ticket. But don’t get the idea that betting on the dog is a foolproof way to win.

In fact, you can flip a coin and do just as well over the long term based on Super Bowl historical trends.

Fun facts: Underdogs are 29-28-2 in the 59 Super Bowls that have been played to date. The OVER/UNDER is dead even at 29-29 in Super Bowl betting history after no total was posted for Super Bowl 1.

Check out the table below for ATS & OVER/UNDER results in every Super Bowl, and then we’ll take a look at current futures odds with a breakdown of the four teams that remain as contenders. 

Super Bowl Betting History: ATS & OVER/UNDER Results

SUPER BOWL	WINNER	CHIEFS	ATS COVER	OVER/UNDER
59	Eagles 40	Chiefs 22	Eagles +1.5	OVER 48.5
58	Chiefs 25	49ers 22	Chiefs +1.5	UNDER 47.5
57	Chiefs 38	Eagles 35	Chiefs +1.5	OVER 51.5
56	Rams 23	Bengals 20	Bengals +4.5	UNDER 48.5
55	Bucs 31	Chiefs 9	Bucs +3	UNDER 55.5
54	Chiefs 31	49ers 20	Chiefs -1	UNDER 53.5
53	Patriots 13	Rams 3	Patriots -2	UNDER 55.5
52	Eagles 41	Patriots 33	Eagles +5.5	OVER 49
51	Patriots 34	Falcons 28	Patriots -3	OVER 57
50	Broncos 24	Panthers 10	Broncos +4.5	UNDER 43.5
49	Patriots 28	Seahawks 24	Patriots +1	UNDER 47
48	Seahawks 43	Broncos 8	Seahawks +2	OVER 47
47	Ravens 34	49ers 31	Ravens +4.5	OVER 47.5
46	Giants 21	Patriots 17	Giants +3	UNDER 53
45	Packers 31	Steelers 25	Packers -3	OVER 45
44	Saints 31	Colts 17	Saints +5	UNDER 57
43	Steelers 27	Cardinals 23	Cardinals +7	OVER 46
42	Giants 17	Patriots 14	Giants +12	UNDER 55
41	Colts 21	Bears 17	Colts -7	UNDER 47
40	Steelers 21	Seahawks 10	Steelers -4	UNDER 47
39	Patriots 24	Eagles 21	Eagles +7	UNDER 47
38	Patriots 32	Panthers 29	Panthers +7	OVER 38
37	Bucs 48	Raiders 21	Bucs +3.5	OVER 44
36	Patriots 20	Rams 17	Patriots 14	UNDER 52.5
35	Ravens 34	Giants 7	Ravens -3	OVER 32.5
34	Rams 23	Titans 16	Push	UNDER 48
33	Broncos 34	Falcons 19	Broncos -7.5	OVER 51.5
32	Broncos 31	Packers 24	Broncos +11.5	OVER 49.5
31	Packers 35	Patriots 21	Push	OVER 49
30	Cowboys 27	Steelers 17	Steelers +13.5	UNDER 52
29	49ers 49	Chargers 26	49ers -18	OVER 54
28	Cowboys 30	Bills 13	Cowboys -10.5	UNDER 50.5
27	Cowboys 52	Bills 17	Cowboys -6	OVER 45
26	Redskins 37	Bills 24	Redskins -7	UNDER 49
25	Giants 20	Bills 19	Giants +7	PUSH 39
24	49ers 55	Broncos 10	49ers -12.5	OVER 47
23	49ers 20	Bengals 16	Bengals +7	UNDER 47.5
22	Redskins 42	Broncos 10	Redskins +3.5	OVER 47
21	Giants 39	Broncos 20	Giants -9.5	OVER 40.5
20	Bears 46	Patriots 10	Bears -10	OVER 37
19	49ers 38	Dolphins 16	49ers -3	OVER 53
18	Raiders 38	Redskins 9	Raiders +3	UNDER 48
17	Redskins 27	Dolphins 17	Redskins +3	OVER 36.5
16	49ers 26	Bengals 21	49ers Pick’ Em	UNDER 48.5
15	Raiders 27	Eagles 10	Raiders +3	UNDER 37.5
14	Steelers 31	Rams 19	Steelers -10.5	OVER 36
13	Steelers 35	Cowboys 31	Push	OVER 37
12	Cowboys 27	Broncos 10	Cowboys -6	UNDER 39
11	Raiders 32	Vikings 14	Raiders -4.5	OVER 38
10	Steelers 21	Cowboys 17	Cowboys +6.5	OVER 36
9	Steelers 16	Vikings 6	Steelers -3	UNDER 33
8	Dolphins 24	Vikings 7	Dolphins -6.5	UNDER 33
7	Dolphins 14	Redskins 7	Dolphins +1.5	UNDER 33
6	Cowboys 24	Dolphins 3	Cowboys -6	UNDER 34
5	Colts 16	Cowboys 13	Colts +2.5	UNDER 36
4	Chiefs 23	Vikings 17	Chiefs +12	OVER 39
3	Jets 16	Colts 7	Jets +18	UNDER 40
2	Packers 33	Raiders 14	Packers -13.5	OVER 43
1	Packers 35	Chiefs 10	Packers -14	N/A

Super Bowl 60 Futures at DraftKings: Seahawks Atop Odds Board

DraftKings was dealing Seattle as the betting favorite at the time of publication. Check out the odds for all four teams:

• Seahawks +145
• Rams +230
• Patriots +260
• Broncos +1000

Seahawks

Seattle (15-3) is coming off a 41-6 thrashing of San Francisco. The Seahawks now face another NFC West rival when the Rams come to town on Sunday.

The two teams split the regular-season series, with the home team winning each game. QB Sam Darnold‘s career renaissance will be complete if he can lead Seattle to its second Super Bowl win in franchise history.

Rams

Los Angeles (14-5) somehow squandered a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter at Seattle back on Dec. 18. The Rams ultimately lost that game in overtime, 38-37.

Hopefully, we’re in line for another thriller on Sunday. LA quarterback Matthew Stafford will likely collect the NFL MVP award next month. Stafford threw for 46 TD passes to lead the NFL by a wide margin during the regular season. Stafford enjoys the luxury of having Puka Nacua and Davante Adams as elite WR targets.

The Rams will need to shore up their defense and special teams to avenge that heartbreaking loss to the Seahawks last time out.

Patriots

At BetMGM, New England’s Mike Vrabel closed as the odds-on favorite (-285) to win NFL Coach of the Year. QB Drake Maye made major strides in his sophomore season as a pro. He’s the only other QB besides Stafford who has a shot at NFL MVP.

It’s been a magical ride so far, but Maye will make his first playoff start on the road against Denver. The Patriots (16-3) also benefited from playing only three playoff teams during the regular season.

Broncos

The central storyline for Denver (15-3) involves backup QB Jarrett Stidham starting against New England after Bo Nix suffered an ankle injury last week.

Love or loathe him, head coach Sean Payton is likely to craft a game plan that helps protect Stidham. Denver’s defense was dominant during the regular season, ranking second in total defense and third in scoring defense.

If that version of Denver’s D shows up Sunday, this feels like a nail-biter that could become an instant classic.